Bahía vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
VAS
4 - 3
BAH
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
JEC
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAH
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 1
AMF
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 1
AVA
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
NAU
5 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
NAU
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 2
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
NAU
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |