Bahía vs Jacobina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 0
BAH
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
BAH
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAH
3 - 2
BRA
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
JEC
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 2
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JEC
3 - 3
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
JEC
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JEC
3 - 1
AEC
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |