Bahía vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
FLA
6 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 2
CRI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
CRZ
5 - 2
BAH
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 0
COR
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
COT
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 3
PPE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FOR
4 - 3
ATM
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |