Bahía vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 4
BAH
65%
21%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRZ
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 2
FFL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 0
COR
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
FFL
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |