Bahía vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAH
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ATP
1 - 1
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
COT
0 - 1
VIT
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
SAN
21%
26%
54%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |