Copa do Nordeste . Quarter-finals

Bahía vs Botafogo PB analysis

Bahía Botafogo PB
79 ELO 61
-7.5% Tilt -17.9%
144º General ELO ranking 1655º
19º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
72.3%
Bahía
18.5%
Draw
9.2%
Botafogo PB

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
Bahía
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.2%
Win probability
Botafogo PB
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bahía
Botafogo PB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2020
BAH
Bahía
2 - 0
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
87%
11%
2%
79 41 38 0
23 Jul. 2020
BAH
Bahía
4 - 1
Náutico
NAU
73%
18%
9%
79 61 18 0
23 Jul. 2020
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
6%
19%
74%
79 43 36 0
14 Mar. 2020
ARN
América RN
0 - 2
Bahía
BAH
12%
22%
67%
79 50 29 0
07 Mar. 2020
BAH
Bahía
1 - 0
Confiança
CON
77%
16%
7%
79 55 24 0

Matches

Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2020
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
41%
24%
35%
62 64 2 0
19 Jul. 2020
SOU
Sousa
1 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
12%
20%
68%
62 41 21 0
17 Jul. 2020
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
83%
13%
5%
62 43 19 0
19 Mar. 2020
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 1
Sousa
SOU
84%
12%
4%
62 40 22 0
15 Mar. 2020
BOT
Botafogo PB
4 - 1
Nacional de Patos
NAC
87%
10%
3%
62 31 31 0
X