Bahía vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 3
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 3
BAH
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ATP
0 - 0
SCI
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 0
ATP
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 0
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 0
POR
53%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |