Bahía vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 0
FLU
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 0
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 3
BAH
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 0
AMF
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
FFL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATP
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATP
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |