EC Avenida vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
74.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ECA
2 - 2
CAX
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 1
ECA
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ECA
0 - 1
PEL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
3 - 2
ECA
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
VER
3 - 2
ECA
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 1
ISM
86%
10%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 2
VER
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECS
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
AAC
1 - 3
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |