Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EBB
0 - 0
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EBB
0 - 2
CHM
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
EBB
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EBB
1 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 3
EBB
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
TOW
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
4 - 2
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 3
PEA
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
MOL
2 - 3
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |