Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 0
MAN
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 15 | 43 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
EAS
39%
23%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
TCU
1 - 1
EAS
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 1
NSH
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
EAS
49%
23%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 1
NAP
25%
22%
53%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WSU
0 - 3
NAP
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 4
NAP
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
PNM
2 - 4
NAP
12%
19%
70%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 0
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |