National League South . Jor. 33

Eastbourne Borough vs Farnborough analysis

Eastbourne Borough Farnborough
42 ELO 49
13.3% Tilt 0.4%
6019º General ELO ranking 4364º
272º Country ELO ranking 164º
ELO win probability
26%
Eastbourne Borough
24.1%
Draw
49.9%
Farnborough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.9%
Win probability
Farnborough
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eastbourne Borough
+63%
+56%
Farnborough

Points and table prediction

Eastbourne Borough
Their league position
Farnborough
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
22º
10º
66
21º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Eastbourne Borough
Farnborough
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Eastbourne Borough
Farnborough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
DOV
Dover Athletic
2 - 1
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
29%
25%
46%
42 35 7 0
04 Feb. 2023
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
0 - 3
Taunton Town
TAU
45%
24%
31%
43 46 3 -1
28 Jan. 2023
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 3
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
36%
25%
39%
42 38 4 +1
21 Jan. 2023
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
3 - 1
Hungerford Town
HUN
65%
19%
16%
42 36 6 0
14 Jan. 2023
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
0 - 2
Worthing
WOR
33%
24%
43%
43 48 5 -1

Matches

Farnborough
Farnborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2023
TAU
Taunton Town
0 - 2
Farnborough
FAR
40%
25%
35%
49 47 2 0
11 Feb. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
3 - 0
Cheshunt
CHE
67%
20%
13%
49 39 10 0
04 Feb. 2023
CON
Concord Rangers
0 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
18%
23%
60%
48 35 13 +1
31 Jan. 2023
FAR
Farnborough
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
66%
20%
14%
49 40 9 -1
28 Jan. 2023
BAT
Bath City
0 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
27%
25%
49%
48 42 6 +1
X