East Thurrock United FC vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 1
EAS
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 3
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
LFC
1 - 1
EAS
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 1
EAS
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
EAS
0 - 2
POT
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
WHI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 4
TIL
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
POT
1 - 4
TIL
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 0
LFC
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |