East Thurrock United FC vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
HAS
1 - 2
EAS
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 3
EAS
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
EAS
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 0
HEN
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 1
WEL
27%
23%
51%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 1
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 0
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
HOR
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAN
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |