East Fife vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
EAS
3 - 0
CWB
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 1
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 1
CIV
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 3
COV
7%
17%
75%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
EAS
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CEU
0 - 4
HOM
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HOM
1 - 3
GLA
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
34%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 1
HOM
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |