East Fife vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 1
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
QUE
2 - 1
EAS
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
6 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CLY
0 - 2
EAS
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
EAS
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AYR
3 - 2
QUE
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
AYR
3 - 2
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALL
1 - 2
AYR
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 6
AYR
11%
14%
75%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
AYR
3 - 0
RAI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |