Dynamo Toronto vs Toronto Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+376%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
4º
22
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 2 |
7º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Toronto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
WEU
1 - 9
DTO
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
OBP
3 - 3
DTO
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
DTO
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 52 | 41 | +3 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DTO
0 - 2
SCA
8%
16%
76%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
DTO
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
LON
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
WEU
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
OBP
0 - 1
TOR
8%
17%
75%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
DTO
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 10 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |