DWV vs DCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DWV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DWV
0 - 2
ACA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ELI
2 - 0
DWV
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
DWV
0 - 1
VUC
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VVS
0 - 3
DWV
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
DWV
0 - 3
FTA
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
DCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DCV
0 - 0
DWS
20%
23%
58%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
DCV
1 - 1
ADO
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ACA
4 - 1
DCV
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
DCV
0 - 2
ELI
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VUC
2 - 1
DCV
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |