Dve Mogili vs Chernomorets Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dve Mogili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 0
DVE
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DVE
3 - 1
SIL
68%
18%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SUV
1 - 0
DVE
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
DVE
3 - 0
RAS
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 2
DVE
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
5 - 1
CHE
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
KUB
74%
15%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
CHE
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |