Durham City vs Clitheroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
DUR
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WOS
2 - 1
DUR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FYL
3 - 0
DUR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
DUR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 3
WIT
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Clitheroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 2
CLI
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 6
FYL
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MOS
0 - 0
CLI
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
5 - 1
CAM
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
SKE
2 - 2
CLI
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |