Durango vs Colima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
DUR
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
MAZ
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GAV
1 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DUR
6 - 0
CAT
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
DUR
20%
30%
50%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
ZAC
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 0
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
NAY
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 2
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
COR
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |