Duque de Caxias vs Queimados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AME
2 - 2
DUQ
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
DUQ
1 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 2
DUQ
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
DUQ
3 - 1
CEC
79%
13%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
DUQ
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Queimados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
QUE
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 3
AFC
19%
20%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 0
QUE
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 0
SCR
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GOY
3 - 0
QUE
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |