Duque de Caxias vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 2
DUQ
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 2
PPE
35%
26%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
DUQ
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 3
VIT
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
DUQ
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
NAU
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
49%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |