Duque de Caxias vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CRA
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
DUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 2
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
GAM
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
GAM
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOT
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |