Duque de Caxias vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OES
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
DUQ
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
45%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAX
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAX
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 0
TUP
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |