Duque de Caxias vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAM
3 - 1
DUQ
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
5 - 1
DUQ
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DUQ
2 - 4
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUQ
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 0
CAM
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 1
BRA
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 0
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |