Duque de Caxias vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DUQ
5 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GAM
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
OLA
4 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 0
BAR
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |