Duque de Caxias vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
BON
0 - 0
DUQ
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
2 - 0
ESE
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
DUQ
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
DUQ
3 - 1
CFZ
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 0
CFZ
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 2
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 0
ANG
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ESE
0 - 2
BAN
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 14 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |