Dunston UTS vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JAR
0 - 0
DUN
18%
21%
62%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
PIC
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
5 - 0
OSS
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
SPE
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIS
2 - 3
SPE
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 4
SPE
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 0
SAL
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |