Dunston UTS vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SKE
1 - 2
DUN
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 2
SKE
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
DUN
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 3
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
SAL
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
CHO
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 1
CHO
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
STA
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |