FA Cup

Dunston UTS vs Chorley analysis

Dunston UTS Chorley
33 ELO 51
2.7% Tilt 0.7%
19094º General ELO ranking 4261º
435º Country ELO ranking 127º
ELO win probability
18.1%
Dunston UTS
20.9%
Draw
61%
Chorley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
Dunston UTS
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61%
Win probability
Chorley
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Dunston UTS
Chorley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunston UTS
Dunston UTS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2016
SKE
Skelmersdale United
1 - 2
Dunston UTS
DUN
55%
20%
25%
33 37 4 0
03 Sep. 2016
DUN
Dunston UTS
2 - 2
Skelmersdale United
SKE
36%
22%
42%
33 37 4 0
24 Aug. 2016
PEN
Penrith AFC
1 - 2
Dunston UTS
DUN
19%
20%
61%
33 20 13 0
20 Aug. 2016
DUN
Dunston UTS
3 - 3
Penrith AFC
PEN
72%
16%
12%
33 20 13 0
09 Aug. 2016
DUN
Dunston UTS
4 - 0
Barnoldswick Town
BAR
78%
14%
9%
33 16 17 0

Matches

Chorley
Chorley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2016
CHO
Chorley
2 - 1
Salford City
SAL
35%
27%
39%
49 53 4 0
10 Sep. 2016
CHO
Chorley
1 - 1
Brackley Town
BRA
55%
24%
21%
49 46 3 0
06 Sep. 2016
ALT
Altrincham
2 - 2
Chorley
CHO
22%
24%
55%
50 37 13 -1
03 Sep. 2016
TAM
Tamworth
0 - 1
Chorley
CHO
36%
26%
38%
49 46 3 +1
29 Aug. 2016
CHO
Chorley
1 - 0
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
74%
17%
9%
49 35 14 0