Dunstable Town vs West Essex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
TRI
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
GRE
32%
24%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
POT
0 - 2
DUN
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 1
DUN
73%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 3
CRA
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
West Essex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ESS
6 - 1
BHF
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ESS
2 - 1
CRA
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ESS
2 - 1
WOT
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAW
4 - 1
ESS
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 5
ESS
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |