Dunkerque vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 0
SOC
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 1
AMI
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AUX
2 - 1
DUN
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 1
DUN
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 2
PAU
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
LHA
0 - 1
TFC
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PFC
3 - 1
TFC
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
RVA
2 - 0
TFC
5%
10%
86%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |