Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIS
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
DON
1 - 4
LIN
9%
18%
74%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 2
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |