Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
DUN
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
CLI
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CRU
7 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
28%
23%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 4
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |