Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
1º
1º
28
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
47 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLE
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
LOU
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |