Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
9º
6º
69
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
AYR
2 - 2
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 2
DUN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARB
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
2 - 2
ARB
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
4 - 4
AYR
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
RAI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 2
RAI
17%
25%
58%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
RAI
4 - 3
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |