Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
QOS
0 - 3
DUN
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 3
DUN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 3
STJ
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
STJ
0 - 0
DUN
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
STJ
3 - 1
GRE
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
0 - 2
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |