Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUN
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALL
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 3
DUN
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
ICT
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
ALL
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 2
ICT
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ARB
0 - 3
AYR
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 4
AYR
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUN
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WRE
1 - 1
AYR
13%
19%
69%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |