Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 0
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
83%
13%
4%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
QOS
1 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
QOS
0 - 1
ALL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 1
ALL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
2 - 3
ALL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |