Dunedin vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MTW
0 - 1
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MIR
3 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
TCU
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 1
TCU
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
NAP
3 - 0
DUN
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 5
NAP
50%
23%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 1
MTW
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MIR
4 - 1
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 4
MIR
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
TCU
1 - 2
MAN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |