Dunedin vs Wanaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
WNK
1 - 1
MOS
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OTU
5 - 1
WNK
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 0
GIA
17%
18%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
2 - 4
MOS
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
WNK
1 - 0
OTU
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +4 |