SPL Round 5

Dundee vs Hibernian FC analysis

Dundee Hibernian FC
82 ELO 69
-12.2% Tilt 7.1%
665º General ELO ranking 468º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
71.3%
Dundee
16.7%
Draw
12%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
Dundee
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
-6%
+5%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

Dundee
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 1934
CEL
Celtic
4 - 0
Dundee
DUN
55%
21%
23%
83 83 0 0
17 Nov. 1934
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 4
Dundee
DUN
39%
23%
38%
83 73 10 0
10 Nov. 1934
DUN
Dundee
5 - 4
Ayr United
AYR
62%
19%
19%
83 69 14 0
03 Nov. 1934
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Dundee
DUN
24%
21%
55%
83 66 17 0
27 Oct. 1934
DUN
Dundee
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
64%
20%
17%
83 73 10 0

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 1934
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
49%
22%
30%
66 72 6 0
17 Nov. 1934
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
68%
17%
15%
66 68 2 0
10 Nov. 1934
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
50%
21%
29%
66 68 2 0
03 Nov. 1934
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
45%
23%
32%
65 74 9 +1
27 Oct. 1934
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
22%
20%
58%
65 83 18 0