Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-1
Dundalk vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 1
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
DUN
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
SHR
0 - 1
DUN
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
CAO
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
DUN
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 1
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 1
NOM
85%
11%
5%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
SNT
0 - 12
LEV
1%
3%
96%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 1
LEV
11%
18%
71%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 4
LEV
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |