Cetatea vs Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cetatea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 0
PRA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 4
DUN
17%
21%
61%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 3
MIN
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
PRO
3 - 1
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
PAN
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 1
ARG
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FIL
3 - 1
ALE
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ALE
0 - 2
ARG
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ALE
1 - 2
CON
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |