Dunărea Călăraşi vs CSM Medgidia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
15
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GLO
3 - 0
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
IMO
62%
20%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AXI
0 - 1
DUN
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
RGD
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOR
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CSM Medgidia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
5 - 1
FET
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 0
CSM
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 4
ACP
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 0
GLO
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
IMO
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |