Dumiense FC vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
30
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PED
1 - 1
DUM
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 1
AMA
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
DUM
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
DUM
41%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
PEV
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
BRI
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
MER
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |