League One Scotland - Promotion . Semi-finals

Global 1-0

Dumbarton vs Stranraer analysis

Dumbarton Stranraer
49 ELO 51
-7.9% Tilt 1.7%
3752º General ELO ranking 5343º
39º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
29.3%
Dumbarton
24.2%
Draw
46.5%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.5%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
-4%
-6%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
STR
Stranraer
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
60%
21%
19%
47 52 5 0
04 May. 2021
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 2
Peterhead
PET
32%
27%
42%
46 51 5 +1
01 May. 2021
CLY
Clyde
2 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
50%
23%
27%
47 48 1 -1
27 Apr. 2021
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
58%
23%
19%
47 42 5 0
24 Apr. 2021
EAS
East Fife
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
56%
23%
22%
48 51 3 -1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
STR
Stranraer
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
60%
21%
19%
52 47 5 0
04 May. 2021
STR
Stranraer
2 - 1
Edinburgh City
EDI
38%
26%
36%
51 56 5 +1
01 May. 2021
STI
Stirling Albion
2 - 2
Stranraer
STR
34%
27%
39%
52 50 2 -1
27 Apr. 2021
STR
Stranraer
1 - 4
Elgin City
ELG
45%
24%
31%
53 53 0 -1
23 Apr. 2021
QUE
Queen's Park
0 - 1
Stranraer
STR
52%
24%
24%
52 56 4 +1
X