Third Division Round 34

Dumbarton vs Montrose analysis

Dumbarton Montrose
51 ELO 41
0.3% Tilt -7%
4034º General ELO ranking 3542º
46º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Dumbarton
19.6%
Draw
12.8%
Montrose

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
Dumbarton
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
Montrose
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+26%
-13%
Montrose

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Montrose
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2007
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
52%
24%
25%
51 47 4 0
03 Apr. 2007
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
29%
26%
45%
50 60 10 +1
31 Mar. 2007
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
57%
23%
21%
49 46 3 +1
25 Mar. 2007
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
East Fife
EAS
45%
26%
29%
50 52 2 -1
21 Mar. 2007
EAS
East Fife
1 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
48%
26%
25%
51 52 1 -1

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2007
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 2
Montrose
MON
39%
26%
36%
41 33 8 0
31 Mar. 2007
EAS
East Fife
2 - 0
Montrose
MON
68%
20%
13%
42 53 11 -1
25 Mar. 2007
MON
Montrose
1 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
23%
28%
50%
42 62 20 0
17 Mar. 2007
MON
Montrose
0 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
28%
29%
44%
43 58 15 -1
10 Mar. 2007
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 2
Montrose
MON
72%
16%
11%
42 48 6 +1