Scottish Championship Normal Season Round 21

Dumbarton vs Hibernian FC analysis

Dumbarton Hibernian FC
50 ELO 69
7.9% Tilt 10.9%
3869º General ELO ranking 487º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20%
Dumbarton
25.9%
Draw
54.1%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
Dumbarton
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.1%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+3%
+8%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2017
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
59%
23%
18%
51 61 10 0
31 Dec. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
16%
23%
61%
50 70 20 +1
24 Dec. 2016
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 4
Dumbarton
DUM
59%
22%
19%
49 56 7 +1
17 Dec. 2016
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
24%
25%
51%
48 63 15 +1
10 Dec. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
77%
16%
7%
49 68 19 -1

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2017
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
43%
27%
31%
68 70 2 0
31 Dec. 2016
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
42%
27%
31%
68 62 6 0
24 Dec. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
64%
22%
14%
68 60 8 0
17 Dec. 2016
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
32%
29%
40%
68 60 8 0
10 Dec. 2016
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
77%
16%
7%
68 49 19 0