SPL Round 8

Dumbarton vs Hibernian FC analysis

Dumbarton Hibernian FC
70 ELO 82
15.8% Tilt 2%
4020º General ELO ranking 471º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.1%
Dumbarton
26.5%
Draw
38.4%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.4%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+39%
+3%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 1974
CEL
Celtic
3 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
79%
14%
8%
70 83 13 0
23 Mar. 1974
STJ
St. Johnstone
3 - 3
Dumbarton
DUM
72%
18%
10%
69 80 11 +1
09 Mar. 1974
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
60%
22%
17%
69 69 0 0
23 Feb. 1974
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
34%
26%
40%
70 83 13 -1
16 Feb. 1974
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
62%
22%
16%
70 69 1 0

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 1974
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 3
St. Johnstone
STJ
60%
21%
19%
83 80 3 0
02 Mar. 1974
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Rangers
GLA
56%
23%
22%
83 83 0 0
23 Feb. 1974
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 4
Celtic
CEL
52%
23%
25%
83 83 0 0
09 Feb. 1974
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
34%
27%
39%
83 71 12 0
02 Feb. 1974
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
57%
23%
20%
83 83 0 0